Monday, July 15, 2013

It's The Economy Stupid: Retail Sales Numbers Are Bad

Economic Event

Period

Economic Survey

Actual Reported

Original Prior

Revised Prior

Empire Manufacturing

JUL

5.00

9.46

7.84

 

Advance Retail Sales

JUN

0.8%

0.1%

0.6%

0.5%

Retail Sales Less Autos

JUN

0.5%

0.0%

0.3%

 

Retail Sales Ex Auto & Gas

JUN

0.4%

-0.1%

0.3%

 

Retail Sales "Control Group"

JUN

0.3%

0.1%

0.3%

0.2%

 

Empire Manufacturing number was great.  Retail Sales were disappointing across the board.  The Retail Sales numbers were bad.  There really was no bright spot in the Retail Sales numbers.

 

John Broussard

Assistant State Treasurer

Chief Investment Officer

State of Louisiana

Department of the Treasury

225-342-0013

jbroussard@treasury.state.la.us

 

Friday, July 12, 2013

It's The Economy Stupid: PPI is hot!

 

Economic Event

Period

Economic Survey

Actual Reported

Original Prior

Revised Prior

Producer Price Index MoM

JUN

0.5%

0.8%

0.5%

 

PPI Ex Food & Energy MoM

JUN

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

 

Producer Price Index YoY

JUN

2.1%

2.5%

1.7%

 

PPI Ex Food & Energy YoY

JUN

1.6%

1.7%

1.7%

 

 

Drop it like it’s hot.

 

PPI was higher than economist’s expectations across the board.  Month over Month, Year over Year, with Food & Energy or without Food & Energy.

 

PPI, which measures wholesale prices in the U.S. rose more than projected in June, reflecting higher costs for energy and automobiles.   The 0.8 percent gain in the producer price index was the biggest since September and followed a 0.5 percent rise the prior month, a Labor Department report showed today in Washington. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of 73 economists called for a 0.5 percent gain. The so-called core measure, which excludes volatile food and fuel, increased 0.2

percent, also more than forecast.

 

The data also showed limited cost pressures at the earlier stages of production, indicating demand for raw materials is being restrained by slower growth in China and weakness in Europe. That helps explain why Federal Reserve policy makers project inflation is likely to be at or below the central bank’s goal.

 

John Broussard

Assistant State Treasurer

Chief Investment Officer

State of Louisiana

Department of the Treasury

225-342-0013

jbroussard@treasury.state.la.us

 

Thursday, July 11, 2013

It's The Economy Stupid: Market Close

Market’s Up! That’s a good thing.

 

Description

Ticker

Last

Change

% Chg Today

% Chg 1Year

STOCK MARKETS

 

 

 

 

 

Dow Jones Industrial Average

INDU Index

15460.920

169.2600

1.1069

22.6616

S&P 500 Index

SPX Index

1675.020

22.4000

1.3554

24.8987

NASDAQ 100 Index

NDX Index

3059.456

58.7990

1.9595

18.9991

NASDAQ Composite Index

CCMP Index

3578.304

57.5450

1.6345

23.9034

Russell 3000 Index

RAY Index

998.480

13.3500

1.3552

26.0898

Russell 1000 Index (Large Cap)

RIY Index

929.450

12.5100

1.3643

25.7339

Russell 2000 Index (Small Cap)

RTY Index

1033.180

12.7600

1.2505

30.4092

Wilshire 5000 Total Market

W5000 Index

17743.520

237.1400

1.3546

26.1611

TREASURIES

% Yield

 

 

 

 

3 Month Treasury

0.0355

 

0.0000

0.0000

 

6 Month Treasury

0.0710

 

0.0000

0.0000

 

2 Year Treasury

0.3272

100.094

0.0469

0.0469

 

5 Year Treasury

1.3864

99.945

0.3281

0.3294

 

10 Year Treasury

2.5674

92.922

0.4609

0.4985

 

30 Year Treasury

3.6211

86.453

0.4688

0.5452

 

ENERGY

 

 

 

 

 

Crude Oil, Brent Index

Brent Crude

107.580

-0.9300

-0.8571

9.9244

Crude Oil, Louisiana Lt. Sweet

LA Lt Sweet

109.810

-1.4100

-1.2678

9.3600

Natural Gas, Henry Hub Index

Nat Gas

3.613

-0.0670

-1.8207

-0.1105

PRECIOUS METALS

 

 

 

 

 

Spot Gold $/oz

GOLD

1287.160

27.3800

2.1734

-18.4699

Spot Silver $/oz

SILVER

20.169

0.7817

4.0320

-25.7562

CURRENCIES

 

 

 

 

 

Euro

EUR Curncy

0.763

-0.0072

-0.9343

-6.5353

Japanese Yen

JPY Curncy

98.840

-0.8400

-0.8427

-19.3284

British Pound

GBP Curncy

0.658

-0.0082

-1.2309

2.0310

Swiss Franc

CHF Curncy

0.947

-0.0119

-1.2417

3.6446

Canadian Dollar

CAD Curncy

1.038

-0.0082

-0.7836

-1.8383

Chinese Renminbi

CNY Curncy

6.133

-0.0014

-0.0228

3.8939

FOREIGN INDICIES

 

 

 

 

 

FTSE 100 INDEX

UK

6543.410

38.4500

0.5911

15.5165

CAC 40 INDEX

FRANCE

3868.980

28.4500

0.7408

22.5427

DAX INDEX

GERMANY

8158.800

92.3200

1.1445

26.4176

NIKKEI 225 INDEX

JAPAN

14472.580

55.9800

0.3883

65.9698

HANG SENG INDEX

HONG KONG

21437.490

532.9300

2.5494

12.6800

SHANGHAI COMP INDEX

CHINA

2072.991

64.8650

3.2301

-5.1476

 

John Broussard

Assistant State Treasurer

Chief Investment Officer

State of Louisiana

Department of the Treasury

225-342-0013

jbroussard@treasury.state.la.us

 

Monday, July 8, 2013

It's The Economy Stupid: Market Close

Description

Ticker

Last

Change

% Chg Today

% Chg 1Year

STOCK MARKETS

 

 

 

 

 

Dow Jones Industrial Average

INDU Index

15224.690

88.8500

0.5870

19.2083

S&P 500 Index

SPX Index

1640.490

8.6000

0.5270

21.0503

NASDAQ 100 Index

NDX Index

2966.134

2.9150

0.0984

13.5341

NASDAQ Composite Index

CCMP Index

3484.831

5.4510

0.1567

18.6266

Russell 3000 Index

RAY Index

977.200

4.6700

0.4802

21.9773

Russell 1000 Index (Large Cap)

RIY Index

909.790

4.4300

0.4893

21.7249

Russell 2000 Index (Small Cap)

RTY Index

1009.250

3.8600

0.3839

25.0180

Wilshire 5000 Total Market

W5000 Index

17365.640

85.6100

0.4954

22.0621

TREASURIES

% Yield

 

 

 

 

3 Month Treasury

0.0406

 

0.0000

0.0000

 

6 Month Treasury

0.0761

 

0.0000

0.0000

 

2 Year Treasury

0.3591

100.031

0.0703

0.0703

 

5 Year Treasury

1.5058

99.375

0.5078

0.5136

 

10 Year Treasury

2.6423

92.313

0.8047

0.8794

 

30 Year Treasury

3.6457

86.109

1.1563

1.3610

 

ENERGY

 

 

 

 

 

Crude Oil, Brent Index

Brent Crude

106.960

-0.7600

-0.7055

10.8878

Crude Oil, Louisiana Lt. Sweet

LA Lt Sweet

108.990

-0.5300

-0.4839

11.3200

Natural Gas, Henry Hub Index

Nat Gas

3.730

0.1130

3.1241

5.4942

PRECIOUS METALS

 

 

 

 

 

Spot Gold $/oz

GOLD

1236.720

13.5200

1.1053

-21.9018

Spot Silver $/oz

SILVER

19.079

0.1664

0.8798

-29.5893

CURRENCIES

 

 

 

 

 

Euro

EUR Curncy

0.777

-0.0023

-0.2951

-4.3462

Japanese Yen

JPY Curncy

101.040

-0.1500

-0.1482

-21.2667

British Pound

GBP Curncy

0.669

-0.0028

-0.4168

3.8348

Swiss Franc

CHF Curncy

0.964

-0.0004

-0.0415

1.2456

Canadian Dollar

CAD Curncy

1.056

-0.0018

-0.1701

-3.4662

Chinese Renminbi

CNY Curncy

6.134

0.0011

0.0179

3.8900

FOREIGN INDICIES

 

 

 

 

 

FTSE 100 INDEX

UK

6450.070

74.5500

1.1693

13.9059

CAC 40 INDEX

FRANCE

3823.830

69.9800

1.8642

20.6716

DAX INDEX

GERMANY

7968.540

162.5400

2.0822

24.3121

NIKKEI 225 INDEX

JAPAN

14109.340

-200.6300

-1.4020

58.5875

HANG SENG INDEX

HONG KONG

20582.190

-272.4800

-1.3066

5.9404

SHANGHAI COMP INDEX

CHINA

1958.273

-48.9260

-2.4375

-9.7908

 

 

John Broussard

Assistant State Treasurer

Chief Investment Officer

State of Louisiana

Department of the Treasury

225-342-0013

jbroussard@treasury.state.la.us