Friday, July 6, 2012

It's The Economy Stupid: Payroll Numbers

Okay, let’s just call this employment report disappointing.  I guess it could have been worse.  If you are going to dig to find something positive, people who have jobs are working more hours. And the unemployment rate didn’t get worse.  But the underemployment number did.

 

Economic Event

Period

Economic Survey

Actual Reported

Original Prior

Revised Prior

Change in Nonfarm Payrolls

JUN

100K

80K

69K

77K

Change in Private Payrolls

JUN

106K

84K

82K

105K

Change in Manufact. Payrolls

JUN

7K

11K

 12K

9K

Unemployment Rate

JUN

8.2%

8.2%

8.2%

 

Avg Hourly Earnin MoM All Emply

JUN

0.2%

0.3%

0.1%

0.2%

Avg Hourly Earnin YoY All Emply

JUN

1.7%

2.0%

1.7%

1.8%

Avg Wekly Hours All Emply

JUN

34.4

34.5

34.4

 

Change in Household Employment

JUN

 

128.0

422.0

 

Underemployment

JUN

 

14.9%

14.8%

 

 

It’s really hard to put lipstick on this pig.

 

 

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“The Fed has gone about as if the problem is a shortage of liquidity.  That is not the basic problem.  The basic problem is uncertainty that the balance sheets of financial firms are credible.”

~ 2009, Anna Schwartz, Economist, 1915-2012

-----------------------------------

 

John Broussard

Assistant State Treasurer

Chief Investment Officer

State of Louisiana

Department of the Treasury

Ph:  225-342-0013

Fx:  225-342-9721

Email:  jbroussard@treasusry.state.la.us

 

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