Wednesday, February 22, 2012

It's The Economy Stupid: Revisions

Economic surveys are kind of iffy at best.  Not an exact science and constantly revised after they’ve been published.  However, there are revisions, and then there are REVISIONS.

 

Here’s a doozy:

 

Economic Event

Period

Economic Survey

Actual Reported

Original Prior

Revised Prior

MBA Mortgage Applications

FEB 17

-

-4.50%

-1.0%

-

Existing Home Sales

JAN

4.66M

4.57M

4.61M

4.38M

Existing Home Sales MoM

JAN

1.1%

4.30%

5.0%

-0.50%

 

How in the world do you revise a number from UP 5% to DOWN -.5%???

 

That’s like an airplane pilot landing in Chicago instead of New York.  I have always preached to not get caught up in the numbers, but this is ridiculous.

 

 

John Broussard

Assistant State Treasurer

Chief Investment Officer

State of Louisiana

Department of the Treasury

Ph:  225-342-0013

Fx:  225-342-9721

Email:  jbroussard@treasusry.state.la.us

Street Address:

445 North Blvd, 7th Floor

Baton Rouge, LA 70802

Mailing Address:

P.O. Box 44154 Capitol Station

Baton Rouge, LA 70804-4154

Physical Location:

One City Plaza, 7th Floor

Corner of North Blvd & 4th Street

Exit 1B I-110 Convention Street,

Turn Left to get to North Blvd,

Turn Right on North Blvd

 

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