Friday, September 7, 2012

It's The Economy Stupid: Payrolls & Unemployment

Economic Event

Period

Economic Survey

Actual Reported

Original Prior

Revised Prior

Change in Nonfarm Payrolls

AUG

130K

96K

163K

141K

Change in Private Payrolls

AUG

142K

103K

172K

162K

Change in Manufact. Payrolls

AUG

10K

-15K

25K

23K

Unemployment Rate

AUG

8.3%

8.1%

8.3%

 

Underemployment Rate

AUG

 

14.7%

15.0%

 

 

We added less Nonfarm Payroll jobs than expected and less than previously reported.  We added less Private Payroll jobs than expected and less than previously reported.  And the change in Manufacturing Payrolls was actually NEGATIVE, the worst number in 2 years.  So how did the Unemployment Rate DROP???  Well, that’s easy.  The workforce shrank greater than change in payrolls shrank.  So less people are looking for jobs, more people have given up on looking for jobs.  That’s not exactly a good thing.

 

 

John Broussard

Assistant State Treasurer

Chief Investment Officer

State of Louisiana

Department of the Treasury

 

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