Thursday, November 29, 2012

It's The Economy Stupid: GDP & Jobless Claims

Quarterly GDP number revised upward, that’s a good thing

Jobless Claims down from previous week, that’s a good thing too

 

Economic Event

Period

Economic Survey

Actual Reported

Original Prior

Revised Prior

GDP QoQ Annualized

3Q S

2.8%

2.7%

2.0%

 

Personal Consuption

3Q S

1.9%

1.4%

2.0%

 

GDP Price Index

3Q S

2.8%

2.7%

2.8%

 

Core PCE QoQ

3Q S

1.3%

1.1%

1.3%

 

Initial Jobless Claims

NOV 24

390K

393K

410K

416K

Continuing Claims

NOV 17

3325K

3287K

3337K

3357K

 

The economy in the U.S. expanded more than previously estimated in the third quarter as a narrower trade deficit and gains in inventory overshadowed a

smaller gain in consumer spending.  Gross domestic product grew at a 2.7 percent annual rate, up from a 2 percent prior estimate. The number was juiced upward largely by increases in Government spending, because consumer spending actually decreased.  Household purchases climbed at a 1.4 percent rate,

the least in more than a year and down from a previously reported 2 percent rate, and income gains were also cut.

 

Applications for jobless benefits decreased by 23,000 to 393,000 in the week ended Nov. 24. Economists forecast 390,000 claims, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey.  Fewer Americans filed first-time claims for unemployment insurance payments last week as the labor market disruptions wrought by SuperStorm Sandy ebbed.

 

John Broussard

Assistant State Treasurer

Chief Investment Officer

State of Louisiana

Department of the Treasury

 

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