Friday, October 26, 2012

It's The Economy Stupid: GDP Surprises on the Up Size

Economic Event

Period

Economic Survey

Actual Reported

Original Prior

Revised Prior

GDP QoQ Annualized

3Q A

1.8%

2.0%

1.3%

 

Personal Consuption

3Q A

2.1%

2.0%

1.5%

 

GDP Price Index

3Q A

2.1%

2.8%

1.6%

 

Core PCE QoQ

3Q A

1.3%

1.3%

1.7%

 

 

The economy in the U.S. expanded more than forecast in the third quarter, paced by a pickup in consumer spending, a rebound in government outlays and gains in residential construction.

   

Gross domestic product, the value of all goods and services produced in the U.S., rose at a 2 percent annual rate after climbing 1.3 percent in the prior quarter, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington. The median forecast of 86 economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for a 1.8 percent gain.

 

This is trend growth, just sort of steady as it goes, just kind of treading water. 2% won’t move the peg one way or another. It will keep us out of a recession, but it won’t create a lot of jobs or spur a lot of investment.  It’s better than it was, not as good as it needs to be.

 

 

 

 

John Broussard

Assistant State Treasurer

Chief Investment Officer

State of Louisiana

Department of the Treasury

 

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