Friday, December 13, 2013

It's The Economy Stupid: Market Close & Get A Haircut

Hey kid!  Move out your momma’s house and go get a haircut!

 

The U.S. economy is suffering a  service interruption.  Consumer spending on services -- everything from rents and water bills to health care and haircuts -- has lagged as the economy has struggled to recover from the worst recession since the Great Depression. Such expenditures adjusted for inflation have risen 6.3 percent since mid-2009, compared with a 34 percent surge in outlays on durable goods such as automobiles and appliances, according to data from the U.S. Commerce Department. 

 

A turnaround in outlays for services is key to the economy breaking free of the roughly 2 percent growth rut it’s been stuck in over the past 4 1/2 years and achieving what economists call escape velocity.  (Escape velocity: the hot new macro-economic buzzword. In the U.S. it probably means a couple of quarters GDP growth north of 2.5/3 percent)

 

Spending on services have been held back by a slowdown in new household formation and meager wage growth. As young adults stay home with their parents rather than forging out on their own, spending on utilities and amenities such as cable television has languished.  Expenditures on housing-related services, mainly rents and utilities such as electricity, made up more than a quarter of personal consumption of services in 2012. Those outlays have been hit most directly by the slowdown in new household formation.  From 2008 through this year, the annual rise in the number of households has averaged less than 1 percent. That compares with an average year-over-year gain of about 1.7 percent in Census Bureau data going back to 1948.

 

Oh yeah, the market did some stuff today too.  U.S. stocks were mostly up.  Foreign stocks were mostly down.  Bonds were mostly up.  Gold & Silver were up.  Crude up, Gas down.  Currencies spent.  And the Russians went down!

 

Enjoy your weekend!

 

Description

Ticker

Last

Change

% Chg Today

% Chg 1Year

 

STOCK MARKETS

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dow Jones Industrial Average

INDU Index

15755.360

15.9300

0.1012

19.7175

 

S&P 500 Index

SPX Index

1777.420

1.9200

0.1081

25.0083

 

NASDAQ 100 Index

NDX Index

3456.401

-3.8910

-0.1124

30.2757

 

NASDAQ Composite Index

CCMP Index

4000.975

2.5720

0.0643

33.7493

 

Russell 3000 Index

RAY Index

1063.550

0.7700

0.0725

26.6906

 

Russell 1000 Index (Large Cap)

RIY Index

989.510

0.4900

0.0495

26.0699

 

Russell 2000 Index (Small Cap)

RTY Index

1107.100

3.8300

0.3472

34.3642

 

Wilshire 5000 Total Market

W5000 Index

18893.420

21.5500

0.1142

27.0890

 

TREASURIES

% Yield

 

 

 

 

 

3 Month Treasury

0.0659

 

-0.0050

-7.6923

 

 

6 Month Treasury

0.0862

 

-0.0050

-5.8824

 

 

2 Year Treasury

0.3222

99.852

-0.0078

-0.0078

 

 

5 Year Treasury

1.5309

98.664

0.0156

0.0158

 

 

10 Year Treasury

2.8673

99.000

0.0938

0.0948

 

 

30 Year Treasury

3.8731

97.813

0.3438

0.3527

 

 

ENERGY

 

 

 

 

 

 

Crude Oil, Brent Index

Brent Crude

108.790

0.1200

0.1104

7.6155

 

Crude Oil, Louisiana Lt. Sweet

LA Lt Sweet

100.990

-0.9600

-0.9416

-7.2600

 

Natural Gas, Henry Hub Index

Nat Gas

4.381

-0.0280

-0.6351

8.1719

 

PRECIOUS METALS

 

 

 

 

 

 

Spot Gold $/oz

GOLD

1238.220

12.7000

1.0363

-27.1640

 

Spot Silver $/oz

SILVER

19.713

0.2035

1.0431

-39.5252

 

CURRENCIES

 

 

 

 

 

 

Euro

EUR Curncy

0.728

0.0007

0.0963

-4.7731

 

Japanese Yen

JPY Curncy

103.200

-0.1800

-0.1741

-18.9613

 

British Pound

GBP Curncy

0.614

0.0020

0.3270

-1.0796

 

Swiss Franc

CHF Curncy

0.890

0.0007

0.0787

3.7524

 

Canadian Dollar

CAD Curncy

1.060

-0.0044

-0.4136

-7.0147

 

Chinese Renminbi

CNY Curncy

6.071

-0.0002

-0.0033

2.8908

 

FOREIGN INDICIES

 

 

 

 

 

 

EURO STOXX 600 INDEX

EUROPE

309.750

-0.4900

-0.1579

10.7714

 

EURO STOXX TOTAL MARKET

EUROPE

303.070

-0.4900

-0.1614

11.2184

 

FTSE 100 INDEX

UK

6439.960

-5.2900

-0.0821

8.6068

 

CAC 40 INDEX

FRANCE

4059.710

-9.4100

-0.2313

11.4347

 

DAX INDEX

GERMANY

9006.460

-10.5400

-0.1169

18.7877

 

NIKKEI 225 INDEX

JAPAN

15403.110

61.2900

0.3995

58.1825

 

HANG SENG INDEX

HONG KONG

23245.960

27.8400

0.1199

2.8310

 

TEL AVIV 100 INDEX

ISRAEL

2196.075

-6.7210

-0.3051

2.1133

 

SHANGHAI COMP INDEX

CHINA

2196.075

-6.7210

-0.3051

2.1133

 

RUSSIAN RTS INDEX

RUSSIA

1391.140

-0.7100

-0.0510

-7.2375

 

 

Last

Chg Today

% Chg Today

3 Mo Tot Ret

6 Mo Tot Ret

YTD Tot Ret

S&P 500 INDEX

1777.420

1.920

0.1081

5.6707

9.584

26.991

S&P 500 CONSUMER DISCRETION

509.360

1.378

0.2712

7.5617

15.094

37.621

S&P 500 CONSUMER STAPLES

432.960

-1.080

-0.2488

4.3703

4.750

23.156

S&P 500 ENERGY

623.300

-2.390

-0.3820

2.6094

6.449

19.552

S&P 500 FINANCIALS

284.010

0.370

0.1304

5.3212

7.832

30.810

S&P 500 HEALTH CARE

621.050

0.250

0.0403

5.6021

11.737

36.777

S&P 500 INDUSTRIALS

429.860

1.600

0.3736

8.6746

15.583

33.428

S&P 500 INFO TECHNOLOGY

556.390

-1.540

-0.2760

7.7653

11.394

22.165

S&P 500 MATERIALS

276.420

1.160

0.4214

4.9202

10.616

18.966

S&P 500 TELECOM SERVICES

150.850

-0.470

-0.3106

0.7552

-3.695

8.178

S&P 500 UTILITIES

189.080

-0.270

-0.1426

1.8694

0.980

10.722

 

----------------------

“The early bird gets the worm, but the second mouse gets the cheese.” ~ Jon Hammond

 

John Broussard

Assistant State Treasurer

Chief Investment Officer

State of Louisiana

Department of the Treasury

225-342-0013

jbroussard@treasury.state.la.us

 

No comments:

Post a Comment