Thursday, October 31, 2013

It's The Economy Stupid: Consumer Outlook, Jobless Claims

BOO!  Happy Halloween!

 

Economic Event

Period

Economic Survey

Actual Reported

Original Prior

Revised Prior

RBC Consumer Outlook Index

Nov

--

47

50.7

--

Initial Jobless Claims

Oct 26

338K

340K

350K

--

Continuing Claims

Oct 19

2870K

2881K

2874K

2850K

 

The RBC Consumer Outlook Index dropped to 47 from October’s 50.7.  Something about the economy, government shutdown, Affordable Care Act, et al weighing heavy on consumers.  Initial Jobless claims came in just about as expected at 340,000, and Continuing Claims came in a little higher than expected at 2,881,000.

 

Spooky!

 

John Broussard

Assistant State Treasurer

Chief Investment Officer

State of Louisiana

Department of the Treasury

225-342-0013

jbroussard@treasury.state.la.us

 

Wednesday, October 30, 2013

It's The Economy Stupid: Market Close

The Fed’s  Open Market Committee released its statement today at the conclusion of its two day meetings.  It left interest rates unchanged and appeared to leave its options open when it comes to tapering its massive securities purchasing program.  In other words, they did nothing.

 

Stock market participants apparently realized that today’s economic releases confirm what has been long suspected, we have limited job growth, limited inflation, and limited economic growth.   Perhaps they got philosophical and asked themselves “Can the stock market continue to grow at 25% annually?”  Not to worry, this won’t last long.  Market participants are capitalists, not philosophers.  All that is my way of saying that the stock market was down today. 

 

Description

Ticker

Last

Change

% Chg Today

% Chg 1Year

 

STOCK MARKETS

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dow Jones Industrial Average

INDU Index

15618.760

-61.5900

-0.3928

19.2412

 

S&P 500 Index

SPX Index

1763.310

-8.6400

-0.4876

24.9040

 

NASDAQ 100 Index

NDX Index

3385.378

-6.3690

-0.1878

27.0347

 

NASDAQ Composite Index

CCMP Index

3930.620

-21.7180

-0.5495

31.6189

 

Russell 3000 Index

RAY Index

1057.020

-6.2700

-0.5897

27.0492

 

Russell 1000 Index (Large Cap)

RIY Index

983.030

-5.1200

-0.5181

26.3180

 

Russell 2000 Index (Small Cap)

RTY Index

1105.500

-15.5700

-1.3889

36.1180

 

Wilshire 5000 Total Market

W5000 Index

18781.670

-113.9000

-0.6028

27.3874

 

TREASURIES

% Yield

 

 

 

 

 

3 Month Treasury

0.0406

 

0.0000

0.0000

 

 

6 Month Treasury

0.0862

 

0.0050

6.6667

 

 

2 Year Treasury

0.3088

99.883

0.0078

0.0078

 

 

5 Year Treasury

1.2969

99.703

-0.1289

-0.1291

 

 

10 Year Treasury

2.5197

99.711

-0.2578

-0.2579

 

 

30 Year Treasury

3.6308

99.734

-0.4844

-0.4833

 

 

ENERGY

 

 

 

 

 

 

Crude Oil, Brent Index

Brent Crude

109.900

0.8900

0.8164

7.4107

 

Crude Oil, Louisiana Lt. Sweet

LA Lt Sweet

98.970

-1.3800

-1.3752

-7.7200

 

Natural Gas, Henry Hub Index

Nat Gas

3.627

-0.0020

-0.0551

-14.5917

 

PRECIOUS METALS

 

 

 

 

 

 

Spot Gold $/oz

GOLD

1344.600

-0.4500

-0.0335

-21.3763

 

Spot Silver $/oz

SILVER

22.738

0.2050

0.9098

-28.4568

 

CURRENCIES

 

 

 

 

 

 

Euro

EUR Curncy

0.728

0.0004

0.0550

-5.6247

 

Japanese Yen

JPY Curncy

98.550

0.3600

0.3666

-19.2312

 

British Pound

GBP Curncy

0.623

0.0002

0.0321

0.2411

 

Swiss Franc

CHF Curncy

0.899

0.0000

0.0000

3.6806

 

Canadian Dollar

CAD Curncy

1.048

0.0011

0.1051

-4.6192

 

Chinese Renminbi

CNY Curncy

6.094

0.0039

0.0640

2.3771

 

FOREIGN INDICIES

 

 

 

 

 

 

FTSE 100 INDEX

UK

6777.700

2.9700

0.0438

15.8601

 

CAC 40 INDEX

FRANCE

4274.110

-3.9800

-0.0930

23.5492

 

DAX INDEX

GERMANY

9010.270

-11.7700

-0.1305

23.6927

 

NIKKEI 225 INDEX

JAPAN

14502.350

176.3700

1.2311

62.4314

 

HANG SENG INDEX

HONG KONG

23304.020

457.4800

2.0024

7.6805

 

SHANGHAI COMP INDEX

CHINA

2160.463

31.5990

1.4843

4.4267

 

 

Last

Chg Today

% Chg Today

3 Mo Tot Ret

6 Mo Tot Ret

YTD Tot Ret

S&P 500 INDEX

1763.310

-8.640

-0.4876

5.1639

11.580

25.790

S&P 500 CONSUMER DISCRETION

501.260

-2.349

-0.4664

7.5552

16.773

34.890

S&P 500 CONSUMER STAPLES

437.760

-3.530

-0.7999

3.4876

5.195

24.260

S&P 500 ENERGY

630.890

-3.970

-0.6253

4.7599

10.291

20.469

S&P 500 FINANCIALS

279.980

-1.270

-0.4516

2.1001

12.215

28.517

S&P 500 HEALTH CARE

613.350

-3.290

-0.5335

4.4146

12.968

34.623

S&P 500 INDUSTRIALS

421.020

-1.690

-0.3998

8.5791

18.682

30.327

S&P 500 INFO TECHNOLOGY

544.610

-1.320

-0.2418

7.2309

12.870

19.128

S&P 500 MATERIALS

276.440

-1.630

-0.5862

8.7316

12.456

18.633

S&P 500 TELECOM SERVICES

160.400

-0.810

-0.5025

2.5922

-1.955

14.800

S&P 500 UTILITIES

197.830

-1.310

-0.6578

-0.4849

-4.082

14.854

 

John Broussard

Assistant State Treasurer

Chief Investment Officer

State of Louisiana

Department of the Treasury

225-342-0013

jbroussard@treasury.state.la.us